So Darelle Revis is a New York Jet again. Is it really a surprise? Revis has never really disguised who he was and that was never more evident than before he signed with the Patriots last season.
Revis received credit for taking a discount affording him a chance to win a Superbowl, but the truth is, even last season he wanted the most money, to go to the city and home he loved most and to become a member of the Jets. The first thing he did when he became a free agent was to have his agents reach out to…guess who… the New York Jets. Revis even commented last year prior to signing with the Patriots that he had a hard time envisioning playing for the Patriots after previously playing for the Jets. The Jets foolishly rebuffed his advances in an Idina Menzel – John Travolta kind of way and so Revis was left with Plan B. At that point, why not bet on yourself (two years removed from major surgery) and go to a Superbowl contender and build up your market value while proving you are the best or one of the best again. Both the Patriots and Revis used each other.
Revis could have received more money this year if he was willing to entertain offers from the Raiders or other downtrodden teams, but ultimately, the fully guaranteed money, his ego and the new challenge dictated the decision. This was about the Jets commitment to fully guaranteeing 39 million where apparently the Pats wouldn’t do the full guarantee or match the money according to a Boston Globe report. It was about going back to New York and being the face of the franchise, the savior and avail himself to the loads of endorsement opportunites to boot.
And lastly, I believe it was about the challenge of dethroning the big fish or champion. Many athletes want to join a team that is on the verge of a championship but for some, it is very enticing to knock the king off the mountain. Revis now has the opportunity to be an icon in New York and dethrone the very team that gave him his only Superbowl ring even if it conceivably will take a few years to accomplish. As much as I don’t like to give LeBron James credit, when he opted to return to Cleveland, he accepted the challenge in a city that hasn’t won a championship since 1964 and really had the option to go anywhere.
As for the Patriots and the fan base, I am baffled by the blind faith and loyalty to Bill Belichick and “The Patriots Way”. This notion that regardless of what decision the Patriots make, it has to be right because Belichick knows best is naïve and troubling. By the way, I happen to like Belichick, feel fortunate that he is the coach for the team I root for, and think he might be the best of all time. With that said, any great leader makes mistakes and bad decisions at times and Belichick frankly has a laundry list of them especially on the GM side of his job. But those bad decisions are always discounted because the Patriots are always in the hunt for a Superbowl.
Here are some things to consider when evaluating the Patriots and their decision:
A questionable personnel decision last season. How about signing Darelle Revis last year instead of Aqib Talib? Talib was signed for six years but only three years and 27 million not fully guaranteed. Byron Maxwell, a decent cornerback from Seattle was just signed for six years but three years and 25 million not fully guaranteed. Talib was tremendous for Denver this past year and stayed healthy. Do the Patriots not win a Superbowl if they had Talib over Revis this past season? More important, how would the Patriots be sitting the next two years with Talib on the roster and owed 15 million and being an elite corner versus Kyle Arrington being your number one corner right now? Is Revis seven million per year in cap space and 12 million more in guaranteed money better than Talib? Not quite sure about that. Would you trade Revis for Talib and a player that earns seven million annually in the NFL? I think you would. The Pats knew the risk and what they were getting into when they signed a guy like Revis and the second year of the contract he signed last year shouted that.
All four Superbowls the Patriots have won, they have had a great secondary with Lawyer Milloy, Ty Law, Rodney Harrison and Revis anchoring those teams. Without dominant secondary play, zero Superbowls.
There are certain positions/people that can be irreplaceable in sports. In baseball, ace pitchers and leadoff hitters are difficult to come by (see Jon Lester) and (see Jacoby Ellsbury) although I agree with both decisions to not re-sign them. In football, you have quarterback and cornerback. In basketball, you have point guard and more likely the center position. In hockey, you have goalie or a six foot nine defenseman named Zdeno Chara.
When juggling salary caps and personnel decisions, the cost of replacement, available alternatives and intangible team value just can’t be ignored. Revis for example impacted the whole defense by covering up shortcomings in certain areas. How much is that worth to a football team? I would say significantly more than market value. In this case, the Pats look to have no available alternatives, didn’t effectively evaluate the cost of replacement all to stick with a rigid and stubborn approach to negotiating contracts and stubborn management. Part of me thinks that the reason the Patriots didn’t fully guarantee the money or go above 35 million is out of ego and pride because they feel that to have the “privilege” of playing for the Patriots, one should have to take a discount. I get not setting precedents and how it impacts the rest of your roster, but Revis was a rare breed.
When I evaluate elite level players and coaches, I often envision them in different situations or environments and predict how successful they would be. For example, when comparing Brady and Peyton Manning over the years, I ask myself if they switched teams, how would each have fared? If Brady was the quarterback of the Colts and Broncos and had Manning’s weapons at his disposal, there is no doubt he would have won more than one Superbowl and Manning never would have won four with the Pats. I look at Pat Riley who has proven to be a championship coach with the Lakers and then recreated his success as an executive with the Miami Heat. Lastly, I look at Phil Jackson who had the ridiculously good fortune to work with Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen with the Chicago Bulls and Kobe Bryant and Shaquille O’Neal with the Los Angeles Lakers. Eleven championships are hard to debate, however, he has had the two most dominant tandems to coach in this generation. Now Jackson is an executive for the New York Knicks and it has only been one year, but I think we can all attest to how that’s going so far. By the way, isn’t it great how far I can stretch in a blog to put down the Knicks.
That leaves us with Belichick. When we look back at Belichick’s legacy, how much of it is due to having Tom Brady at his disposal? Could Belichick’s personnel moves and coaching strategy succeed anywhere? He wasn’t successful in Cleveland and he will probably finish his coaching career in New England so I don’t think we will ever see a third opportunity for him.
One thing is for certain however with Revis gone, the Pats are now on an island by themselves.
Ok so here we go. Here are the things I predict, I wish and my final thoughts on Superbowl XLIX (that’s 49 to you).
In-Game predictions/things discussed:
Cris Collinsworth overstates the obvious at least five times during the game.
Steve Largent is mentioned (only because he still might be the Seahawks best receiver)
We hear about Richard Sherman saying to Tom Brady “You mad bro”?
David Tyree is shown making “The catch”.
Kurt Warner’s wife is shown. Oops wrong Superbowl.
Someone is shown on the sidelines guarding footballs (maybe Roger Goodell). And the process of how the footballs were protected prior and leading up to this game being explained.
Where Darelle Revis plays next year and how he compares to Richard Sherman.
That Belichick will say at halftime that we need to do a better job at something.
The word eligible and ineligible being uses multiple times.
How the next Superbowl will be stated as #50 instead of Roman numeral “L” for loser!
Things I wish:
NBC would replay Al Michaels call of Dave Henderson’s HR in 1986. “To left field…and deep… and Downing goes back… and it’s gone. Unbelievable”. “You are looking at one for the ages here.” “Astonishing.”
“Do you believe in miracles?” was a decent quote also I suppose.
That someone would discuss how badly Pete Carroll cheated at USC and how he left the program in complete shambles.
Katy Perry would have a wardrobe malfunction.
That Peyton Manning will consult Brett Favre for retirement advice.
That Pete Carroll would say he is pumped and jacked for the game.
Final Thoughts and Game Prediction
It has been two weeks of talk mostly surrounding Deflategate, Marshawn Lynch’s antics, legacies and comparisons to West Coast Pete and the affable Bill.
Everything has been dissected. Can the Pats run the ball and execute a short passing game? I saw one analyst said the Seahawks defend the short passing game poorly and another one said completely the opposite. Can Seattle win back-to-back titles? 98 football writers/experts from around the country were polled on who was going to win and 50 said Seattle and 48 said the Patriots. The line is a pick. I mean you just can’t get much closer than this.
My biggest concern for the Pats winning:
Tom Brady’s biggest weakness as a QB is the deep ball and in a game like this, I think you have to throw deep to keep the Seahawks honest at least a few times so expect to see that early in the first half. If Brian Tyms is somehow active and Belichick has the guts to use someone like that in the Superbowl, he could be the guy, otherwise it will be Brandon Lafell.
That Brady doesn’t throw a pick six.
That the offensive line holds up and can give Brady time to throw.
My biggest concern for the Seahawks winning:
When the Pats play a team that doesn’t have more than one or two legitimate weapons, they usually respond very well defensively by making other players beat them (see T.Y. Hilton). I don’t respect the Seahawks receivers at all and they will make some plays as will tight end Luke Willson, but that is only because the Pats are paying so much attention to Lynch and Russell Wilson.
The health of Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas. Very tough guys and they will be out there, but if they are noticeably not at 100 percent, that will be a problem.
If the Seahawks fall behind and Russell Wilson has to throw a lot.
I think the Seahawks D is tremendous and I have the utmost respect for Russell Wilson, but the Patriots for the 4th time will win a Superbowl by three points. I think the Patriots are locked in and are deep enough defensively this season. Final score pats 19-16 over Seattle.